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Trading the Spike & Channel | Crude Oil, Emini, Gold, Euro, FDAX
This time around… at least for now… it looks like today’s announcement is having a much lesser impact that OPEC most likely wanted. The sellers are targeting a move back down to the beginning of the Spike & Channel, while the bulls would LOVE to get a move back to re-test today’s high.
The bulls came out the gate roaring higher this morning… but you can see the buyers rejected these higher prices when they failed to re-test the high on the first pullback to the moving-average. Now… the bulls are focus on buying low… with a target going back to re-test today’s high… and most likely up to the prior week high on Tuesday.
The two big clues on this chart are the recent reversal (telling us to wait for the ‘trap high) … and the measured-move (telling us to avoid selling low). Sellers are aiming for a re-test of today’s low… while the buyers would love to take control back again and make a run back up to the prior week high on Tuesday.
If price can push through this round-number… the next stop tomorrow should be the “quadruple-up” target as well… but we need to see PROOF of that first.
Today’s session started with a gap, a sharp correction off the highs… which appears to be exactly what the buyers were looking for because they finished today’s session with a strong push higher into could be described as either a Spike & Channel or a Spike & Wedge with a target up at the Double-Up waiting overhead.