April 20, 2021
Trade the Bounce or the Breakout? My Plan for Wednesday.
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Markets are bearish going into Wednesday’s trading session, and since we finished today inside a range, I’ll be looking to either (a) short the bounces or (b) short the breakouts. Either way, I have some great trades to watch on Wednesday…
E-Mini S&P (ES):
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E-Mini Keys to Success:
- Bears took price two legs lower into a sideways trading-range, telling us to look for sell setups at resistance levels above the range, or wait for a 123-breakout.
- Bulls want to reverse the trend with a 123-Reversal going higher.
- Bears want to sell the pops above the range
Best Trades for Tomorrow:
- [UP] – buyer failure to sell (or) 123-Reversal to buy
- [DOWN] – 2-try trap to sell (or) nested failure to buy
- [SIDEWAYS] – wait for the breakout, focus on selling above the range
E-Mini Nasdaq (NQ):
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Nasdaq Keys to Success:
- Bears run price lower on strength, finishing the day in a sideways trading-range.
- Bulls want to reverse the trend going back up into the range from Monday
- Bears want to sell at resistance levels up above the trading-range
Best Trades for Tomorrow:
- [UP] – buyer failure to sell (or) 123-Reversal to buy
- [DOWN] – 123-breakout to sell (or) nested failure to buy
- [SIDEWAYS] – sit on hands, wait to sell above the range with failures
Gold Futures (GC):
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Gold Keys to Success:
- Bearish into a spike and channel/range, which tells us to look for sell setups at the base of the channel and/or resistance levels above the range high.
- Bears want to sell this retracement under the support trend-line for a retest of the lows
- Bulls want to trade sideways to absorb sellers and then buy below the range from Monday
Best Trades for Tomorrow:
- [UP] – 123-breakout to buy (or) nested failure to sell
- [DOWN] – nested failure to sell & 123-Reversal to sell
- [SIDEWAYS] – sit on hands, wait to buy low, sell high with failures