January 14, 2011

Pace of Tape indicator & The Dollar Index Correlation FAILURE

Questions:
–          When does the dollar correlation NOT work?
–          Negative correlation (dollar drops = everything rises)
–          2 example of when it does not work
–          Low volume = fewer traders = less consistency in the correlation (red pace of tape, no big money, low ATR)
–          When other economies seek shelter in the gold market
–         
–          Where can I find more info on JJ?
–         
–          Which market pays the best?
o    If you trade in the US, the best market for experienced traders will be the DAX
o    Wide ranges, fully electronic so its cheap, and it settles in EURO, so you make the currency exchange when you get paid on it
o    $2500 margin
o    $25 eur / point
o    Only ticks in /50 pt increments.
o    If you’re a new trader, the best markets to trade are crude oil, gold, euro and Russell
        
–          Wave patterns and momentum
–          Speed and Size required for entries
o    Speed = always want rising speed (color is ok, increasing is necessary)
o    How many contracts is a BIG MONEY buyer?
o    It all depends on the market
o    Crude/Gold/Russell (illiquid) = 50 lots is enough (10 lots x 5 of them)
o    ES/FESX/ZB/ZN/Euro (highly-liquid markets) and we need to have MORE BIG MONEY to move them around.
o    Too much liquidity = narrow ranges = less profit
o    Less liquidity = wider ranges = more profit
o    ES/FESX/Euro/ZN/ZB = min of 300 lots
–          Reading the Pace of Tape Indicator
–          Measures the speed of the orders coming into the market
–          Does NOT count volume, and it does not know how many contracts.
–          Rising speed = confirms the move (take the trade, let the trade run)
–          Falling speed = sign of a reversal / negates the move (avoid the trade, tighten your stop, or take your profit and run.
–          The best way to use the POT is to determine short term market sentiment.        
–          Divergence Indicator and our method of using it
–          Watch the video in the ADV Course
–          Use the NOTES that we made for it
–          Watch the members training that was recorded and posted. 11-17-11
      
–          Fast Track Method
o    Designed to be a simple and streamlined method to trade
o    Uses limit orders
o    1:1 risk/reward ratio
o    Simple patterns
o    Slower timeframes with tight stops so seeing the patterns will be easier.
o    No trade management, set it and forget it.
o    Teach you good trading habits
o    Start w/ 1 contract and over 2 weeks this FT method will change the way you see your charts.

    schooloftrade

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