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Identify the Trading Day Ahead of Time With This Proven Technique
– Determining if today will be a challenging day
o News events
Events today
• Anything late in the day today
• FOMC announcement
• Meeting minutes
• Fed chairman speaking
Events later this week
• Is there anything end of the week people may be waiting
o Check the Dollar Index
Are we trading inside or outside of the previous day’s trading range?
• Inside day = trading range is within the range from the previous day
• Inside days = narrow price action
• Outside day = trading range is outside of the range from yesterday
• Widening price action, larger moves
o Determine the personality of the market
Consistency is the key
8am = the markets are slow and flat
10am = still slow and flat
1030am = more volume, but still no patterns
1100am = lots of volume, lots of movement, and new patterns everywhere!
o What do I do next?
Ive determined that I have a nasty day ahead…what do I do?
• New traders move to DEMO
• Trade smaller size
• Look for double confirmation
o Use multiple timeframes to confirm momentum, pattern
• DO NOT walk away from your charts, stay and listen and keep an eye on the change in personality
– Why do we focus on the edges (extremes), and avoid the middle?
o Because that is where we have the support/resistance to help our trade
o We avoid the middle because there is NO buy/sell pressure in the middle
– 3-strike rule
o One of my favorite tools for scalpers
o Used for any type of trading, but best used for the higher risk, faster timeframe trades
o Check the blog:
o If my profit target is tested (not filled) 3 times, I will no longer wait for the fill, I will FORCE the fill
Move that target up/down to get it filled
If this happens on our 1st target, you will have risk in the market still, so you need to move your stop to entry
– Compare the YG and the GC
o GC = gold full size
o YG = mini gold (lower cost/tick, and less volume)
– How do you read the dollar
o How do we use the dollar?
o 13-range on the dollar
o Draw my trend lines, prep for the market the EXACT same way!
o I don’t trade the dollar because of its low volume
o Use the correlation because it’s the ONLY true fundamental correlation
o Dx-Pattern, a trade pattern using the dollar index
– Fast Track on inside day
o Inside day = higher risk
o Inside day = narrow trading range
o Inside day = higher risk for fast tracks traders b/c you are leaving your orders on the table ahead of time.
– Scalping and maximizing the runner
o Im a self-proclaimed intra-day scalper
o Scalper = tight stops and a quick target
o Intra-day = im looking to hold my trades to the highs/lows of the trading range, look for runners.
o Step 1: use multiple timeframes (review this every morning at 745am EST)
Show you where the MAJOR levels of support and resistance are
o Step 2: look for scalping entries, with the goal of getting into just 1 or 2 big runners
Example: use your 4 range for a scalping entry on crude oil
We know the first two targets
o Step 3: plan your final target using your slower timeframe
o Step 4: hold the trade as long as your indicators tell you
– Do we use the open/close of cash/PIT?
o I watch 24 hours a day, looking for overnight highs and lows, and things that happened while we were sleeping
o Do want to know WHEN the markets PIT open so I can expect the spike in volume.
o What times do we watch?
– What’s the difference between the E-mini’s and Crude/Gold
o E-mini’s are range-bound markets
Sell highs, buy the lows
o Commodities are breakout markets
Buy/sell the breakouts
Sell the highs and buy the lows just like other markets
I find commodities give me more opportunities with less waiting and watching.
– Does my trade size always stay the same?
o It does unless I have something go wrong
Notice the market is getting really choppy I may cut my size in half
When I get another $1000 new equity in my account I will add 1 more contract
– Inside day
o Are there markets that are better or worse?
Worst = e-mini b/c they go completely flat
Runner-up = currencies because they are closely tied to the dollar
Best = commodities b/c they are breakout markets
o What should we be preparing for the most?
Watch the personality change during the day to tell you when to start/stop trading
o Afternoon session different?
Yes, you can but watch the personality
If the market is bad in the morning, the chances of it getting better in the afternoon is VERY low.
– Sideways ranges, Trend line, channel, wedge, horseshoe’s, which is the most important?
o Check the blog:
o Sideways ranges are most important, they offer the highest percentage opportunities, with the lowest amount of risk
o Wedges and Channels are easy to trade with
o Horseshoe patterns will be the most dangerous because we’re using OLD trend lines in the equation.
– Overnight trades
o This method works on any market, any timeframe, and anyone can learn it.
o My favorite overnight markets
Aussie
Yen
Gold
Crude Oil
– Scaling in or scaling out of trades
o I do not scale in
Adding to your position as the market moves in your direction
o I always scale out
Taking profit as the market moves in your direction