June 3, 2013

Day trading strategy for Triangle, Pennant and Price wedge

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This morning
we saw many high-percentage-trades
on our favorite futures markets including one specifically on Crude Oil that
was an excellent example of what we look for when trading a pennant, triangle
or price
wedge


Crude Oil Price Wedge, Flat, Pennant Breakout

In today’s video you
will learn the correct way to look for a breakout of a price wedge.  Remember to join the free trial so you can
attend our Live Trade Room Open House and learn more about our trading
strategies.

The most
important aspect of trading a price wedge or pennant pattern is to understand
the market-personality
that creates it on our charts.  A pennant,
flag, triangle or price wedge pattern is formed with lower-highs and higher-lows
as price ‘consolidates’ into a narrower range each time the highs and lows fail
to be broken successfully. 

It is usually very easy
to find a price wedge on your chart because the pattern really stands out to
look exactly like it sounds….a ‘wedge’ or ‘triangle’ on your chart.
The most common
mistake among new traders using a price wedge is to try and trade the breakout
as soon as it makes new high-highs or lower-lows.  We never want to try and trade the initial
breakout of a pennant, flag, or price wedge pattern because the market-personality
is such that we will most likely see a fake-out breakout and a loss on the
trade.  Yes, we do see many successful
initial breakouts on a price wedge but they are very hard to take consistently. 

We will focus on
waiting patiently to see if a breakout will keep going, and then we seek to
find the entry.
One of my
favorite trades using a flag, pennant or price wedge pattern is to sell the
highs and buy the lows.  Considering the market-personality
says ‘fake-out
breakout
’ we know that selling the highs at resistance and buying the
lows at support will always provide easy trading opportunities that will help
us reach our daily profit-target.
The easiest way to
trade a price wedge is to sell the highs and buy the lows, being careful not to
trade in the MIDDLE.
Another,
more advanced technique for trading a breakout of a flag, pennant or price
wedge pattern is to identify the swing-high or swing-low that created the price
wedge.  We seek to find the highest point
and lowest point of the price wedge, and use that as the support
& resistance
to trade around. 
If prices make a new higher-high
we don’t want to buy long if we aren’t above the swing-high of the price wedge
and the same is true for a short trade that does not exceed the swing-low.
Selling Retracements on Euro

Once we see
a breakout of the flag, pennant or price wedge we then wait to buy
pullbacks
for a long and sell retracements for a short.  If we are buying pullbacks we need to make
sure the BUY is above the swing-high.  If
we are selling
retracements
we need to make sure the SELL is below the swing-low.  If we follow this simple trading rule we can
avoid the fake-out breakouts that come with a flag, pennant or price wedge and
we will hit our daily profit-target more often.


If we are buying pullbacks
we need to make sure the BUY is above the swing-high.  If we are selling retracements we need to
make sure the SELL is below the swing-low
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