11:30 European Close / Live Webinar in our Trade Room
Looking at the news this morning we have early morning 830 news that ‘should’ get the market moving for us early today, so we will be on our toes for 830am. We then see news at 10am along with Ben Bernanke speaking this morning. Its hard to predict how the market will react to what Big Ben is saying at 10am est, so we will wait to see. I would expect to see the market slow down around 10-1030 and then look for a late morning move after the markets settle down after Ben’s speach. Natural Gas is a very small event in our day, so I do not expect this to be a player in our price action today.
As always, I’m watching the speed or the orders coming into the market along with average true range (ATR) to find the best times to trade the markets today.
My trading method will work on ANY liquid market, here is what I’m focused on day trading today:
Crude Oil 89 Range
Crude Oil Futures
Open your 89-range chart to begin the process of locating the most important information to watch today. I can see right away we have a price wedge in yellow trend lines, sideways ranges above price and some major levels of support and resistance to watch if price keeps rising or falling this morning. The price wedge on this makes for an easy target for our trading today.
If price rises: – Im buying pullbacks, trying to buy the lows of the wedge, the lows of the range – Im selling the high of the bear channel and the PLOD at 97.50 – If we make new highs above the channel highs and above the PLOD we take that as a bullish sign and we want to buy pullbacks – We don’t buy the highs, we buy pullbacks. – Im going to avoid trading around the BMT 98.57, and I will avoid the OPEN 99.58 and the big round number of 100.00 If price falls: – We are selling retracements as price falls, but keeping a close eye on the lows of the sideways range. – Buying first as price falls, buying the support, the lows at 94.63 – If we make new lows below .63 we then see this as a strong bearish clue, and we sell retracements. – We need to get below the 94.63 to really get the best moves down, and beware selling the lows, wait for new lows and then sell a retracement.