Day Trading Morning Prep Gold, Crude Oil, Dollar Index, Euro, E-mini Russell Futures

‘We are what we repeatedly do.  Excellence, therefore, is not an act, but a habit’ – Aristotle
Let’s begin our morning routine with the economic news for today’s trading session.
8:20 Gold & Currencies OPEN
9:00 Crude Oil OPEN
9:30 US Market OPEN
11:00 Transition into Lunch
11:30 European Close / Live Webinar in our Trade Room
2:00 Treasury Budget
Looking at the economic news today…we start off early at 830am which will hopefully give us some early moves to trade because after 1030am Crude Oil inventories we may slow down as day traders look to wait for the 2pm news about the Treasury’s Budget statement.  I want to get in early today, make my money and look for volume to leave a little earlier than normal with the late news today.
As always, I’m watching the speed or the orders coming into the market along with  average true range (ATR) to find the best times to trade the markets today.
My trading method will work on ANY liquid market, here is what I’m focused on day trading today:
Gold 89 Range

The first thing I use in my daily prep is a slower timeframe to focus my attention on the most important information.  Its easy to get distracted by various things on faster timeframes, so this is a great way to get started on the right stuff today.

You can see on this 89-Range chart of Gold Futures that not a lot has changed since Monday and Tuesday.  We continue to see wedge patterns and a bullish price channel.  Ive located some easy sideways ranges and will use these on the 34-range chart below to plan our trading this morning.

Gold 34 Range

As you can see, we use a technical indicator to draw trend lines, and those are added automatically to our faster 34-range chart.  This not only saves me TIME but limits my MISTAKES, which is a priceless tool for day traders.

This 34-range chart shows me many trading opportunities.

  • Price Wedge in yellow trend lines
  • Price Channel in Pink trend lines
  • Sideways Range(s) in white box(s)
  • PHOD above us and PLOD below us
  • BMT is below us
  • OPEN is above us
  • Major levels of support/resistance above/below us

This information gives me the ingredients for our recipe for day trading success today.  I want to use this price wedge as my guide first.  Buy the lows and sell the highs of the wedge until its broken.  If we break out of the wedge to the UP side we then will buy pullbacks using the bullish price channel as our guide (just like we did with CL on Tuesday).  The bullish channel gives us a sense of sentiment, so looking for long positions will be higher % today.

Im also watching the sideways ranges that we defined on the 89range chart.  I want to use these as a guide as well, Buy the lows, sell the highs, and avoid the middle of these ranges.  If you notice, the PHOD is above us, and the PLOD is below us, making this an Inside Trading Day.  Inside the range from Tuesday, we now want to consider this range to be our ‘friend’ buying the lows and selling the highs until the market proves otherwise.  Trading ‘inside’ means we can trade inside the range confidently, ‘just dont fiddle with your middle! ‘:)

I want to avoid trading around certain levels today, such as the Big Money Trigger Line (BMT) and the OPEN of the day.  The BMT is at 1503.0 below us, and the OPEN is at the highs of the wedge.

Ive also marked some major levels of support and resistance above and below price so I am prepared for battle today up or down.

With this information, my plan of attack will be quite simple today.  If price rises im selling the highs of the wedge first, then buying pullbacks with new higher highs, keeping an eye on resistance levels overhead.

If price tumbles im going to buy the lows of the wedge, the lows of the channel, and the PLOD all in the same area of 1505.00.  I will avoid trading around the BMT at 03.0 and 1500 big round number.  If price can break new lows below the channel lows (below 98.5) we then start selling retracements with new lower lows, keeping an eye on the support levels below us.

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    Joseph James - May 11, 2011 Reply

    815am est
    We review the crude oil 89 range chart to start our day with the most important information
    We see the the CL 06-11 is trading right on top of the 89 BMT, which means this area TODAY may be sloppier than normal. We also have 1030am crude oil news, so this may be the reason why prices are sitting at the BMT.
    It appears we are trading in the middle of the larger trading range on the CL right now, and we want to avoid the middle. The goal this morning will be to stay patient and wait for price on crude to test the highs or the lows of the range.
    The highs of the wedge around 105.00 make a great spot to sell, and the lows of the wedge are just below 100.00 so we look to buy the lows.
    If we sit on the 100.00 level today this will also be a challenge.
    Open the 34range chart on crude oil this morning and we see the following:
    – Price Wedge
    – Price Channel
    – Sideways Range(s)
    – PHOD / PLOD above/below us (inside day)
    – Major levels above and below us
    – BMT in the middle
    – OPEN at the highs of the wedge
    Our plan of attack when trading crude oil:
    If price rises:
    – Selling the highs of the wedge
    – Avoiding the OPEN as a sloppy area
    – Selling the PHOD
    – If we keep making new highs I am buying pullbacks using this bullish price channel as my guide
    If prices fall:
    – I will avoid the big money trigger line at 102.28
    – I will buy the lows of the channel at 102.51
    – I will buy the support at the highs of the minor wedge at 101.00
    – Buy the PLOD 100.12
    – Avoid the 100.00 big round number
    – Buy the lows of the wedge below 100.00
    – If we make new lower lows I will then sell retracements
    – Never selling the lows, im looking to buy the lows/support first.

    – Remember that after 1015am this morning this crude oil market becomes higher risk with 1030am news.

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