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Day Trading Opportunities come in 3’s for Crude Oil Futures, Gold Futures, E-mini Futures
Did you know that most moves in the market come in 3’s?
What does that mean?
It means that when we see the market trending, I will look for 3 opportunities to trade with the trend, and then the 4th opportunity to trade with the trend I will look for a reversal instead.
This simple trick is something you will ALWAYS see…and today we discussed where to look for it.
– Review 1st and 2nd trades today
o First was a loss, and then we took the market feedback and turned around and entered as a long on the 13-range
o Second trade was a HUGE winner based on the feedback from the market on the first losing trade.
– Can we use a double-top/bottom as an entry level?
o Yes, but they will be a lot higher risk
o https://www.sidewaysmarkets.com//2010/05/26/easiest-way-to-find-double-tops-bottoms/
– Waves comes 3’s, what does this mean?
o The motion of the market typically comes in batches of 3’s
o We will see 3 wave patterns and then the 4th will fail
o We will see 3 breaker patterns and the 4th will fail
Keep an eye on these b/c a 4th pattern is now going to be a heads up for a 2-step reversal
– How do we use the 2 time and sales windows
o Used for reading the tape
o 1 filtered
o 1 is not
o I am going to use the Filtered time and sales for my big money to qualify the entry, exit, targets.
o I use the unfiltered to watch for the speed of the orders
I also use the Pace of Tape Indicator to measure the speed of the orders as well.
– How do we use the Pace of Tape Indicator
o Measures the speed of the orders coming into the market
o I want to trade when I see rising speed
o I want to sit on my hands and avoid trading when I see decreasing speed.
More importantly, if I see RED P.o.T and its decreasing, then I will NOT take the trade.
– Tick Chart & POT (144t and load the traderoom_fast, and then add POT)
o The template is not current, I will update today
o 144-tick
o Load my template: traderoom_fast and then add the Pace of Tape
Ive done this and saved this as a new template: ‘TickChart’
o I’m watching the highs and the lows of the trading range and im watching to see the relationship with the pace of tape indicator
– What is the role of your futures broker?
o Your broker a licensed (regulated) entity that is allowed to do business with an Futures Clearing Merchant (FCM)
o Your broker takes ALL the margin risk for your trading
Your broker will ask for $1000/contract for margin
But if you lose MORE then $1000/contract your broker takes the hit.
Your broker also works with the FCM to make sure you get the most accurate information and that your trades are being execute correctly.
If there were no futures brokers?
• No regulation for each trade you take
• There also would be no direct access to the market for SMALLER traders
o We wouldn’t be the BIG MONEY traders that always get access to the market
– Do we use new trend lines every day?
o https://www.sidewaysmarkets.com//2010/07/27/trend-lines-for-day-trading-futures/
o No, we do not
o We use the old trend lines because we know that previous support will be future resistance
o Is there any time when we remove a trend lines?
When the market has stopped respecting the trend line and no sloppy around that level.
• Once the trend line stops holding/bouncing, then look for a better fitting trend line.