Day Trading Morning Prep Gold, Crude Oil, Dollar Index, Euro, E-mini Russell Futures

‘We are what we repeatedly do.  Excellence, therefore, is not an act, but a habit’ – Aristotle
Let’s begin our morning routine with the economic news for today’s trading session.
8:20 Gold & Currencies OPEN
9:00 Crude Oil OPEN
9:30 US Market OPEN
11:00 Transition into Lunch
11:30 European Close / Live Webinar in our Trade Room
Looking at the news this morning we dont have anything early, so we wait for 10am Factory Orders to be the major catalyst this morning for economic news.  We have a busy day on wednesday, so look for traders to be finishing up their mornings relatively early today with tomorrow in the back of their minds.
With that said, remember that these markets Gold and Crude Oil have increasing levels of FEAR that is giving us unexpected moves in the market late in the morning.  We need to be on our toes at all times, knowing that prices may move on the slightest news in the markets.
As always, I’m watching the speed or the orders coming into the market along with  average true range (ATR) to find the best times to trade the markets today.

My trading method will work on ANY liquid market, but here is what im focused on day trading today:

Crude Oil Futures
89Range Crude Oil

Crude Oil tumbles off new highs and gives us some great trading opportunities this morning.

I will open my 89range chart first and find the most important price levels:
  • Price Wedge in Blue Trend Lines
  • Bullish Channel in Yellow trend lines
  • Sideways Range(s) in the White Box

This information is vital, now I know what to focus my attention to when I use my faster timeframe to find the specific price levels.

34Rage Crude Oil

Open your 34range chart on Crude Oil and you see the following:

  • Price Wedge in Blue Trend Lines
  • Sideways Range in the White Box
  • PHOD and PLOD are above/below us
  • Major Levels of Support below us
  • Major Levels of Resistance above us
  • Big Money Trigger Line (BMT)

The first thing I see is the price wedge in blue trend lines.  Notice I had to draw this VERY bullish with higher highs, this was needed with the higher highs we keep seeing (114.00, 114.17, 114.83).  I want to buy the lows and sell the highs of the wedge, and I will use all three of my price patterns to accomplish this.

Next I see the sideways range from 115.00 down to 111.00.  This range is made even MORE important because the PHOD/PLOD is above and below us.  We are trading inside the range from Monday, which makes this an Inside Trading Day, which means we will focus on selling the highs and buying the lows of the range as the highest % trades.  Furthermore, if we do break above or below the PHOD/PLOD we will then consider this an “outside” day and then look for pullbacks and retracements at the new highs or lows.

Major levels above us include 115.00, 116.00 and levels below us include 111.89, 111.00, 110.82, 1110.71, 110.35, 110.00, and 109.15.  There will likely be more levels identified during the trading day once we get started.

And we cant forget the Big Money Trigger Line (BMT) is right in the middle of this range at 112.78.  We know the BMT is often the best profit target, NOT the best place to enter a trade, which means the current price os 112.50 is not in a very friendly spot on crude oil this morning.

In review of this information, my plan of attack will be as follows:

  • Slight upward trend on the dollar this morning has me ‘watching’ the short side of the market early, but that can quickly change, but it is there to be seen.
  • If price drops im buying the lows of the wedge 111.89, buying the lows of the sideways range 111.00, and buying the PLOD 110.82
  • If price rises I will avoid trading around the BMT, and will sell resistance at the highs of the wedge 114.50, highs of the sideways range 114.83/115.00 and the PHOD 114.83.
  • I will keep a close eye on levels above us and below us if price breaks above the PHOD or below the PLOD, in the meantime I will be looking to trade inside the current trading range from Monday.

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    Joseph James - May 3, 2011 Reply

    We already completed the Crude Oil on the Morning prep, now let’s review the Gold Futures.
    89Range chart on the 06-11 GC shows us the following:
    – We just broke the MAJOR bullish trend line (the lows of the price channel)
    – Price Wedge in pink trend lines
    – Sideways Range(s) inside of sideways range(s) in the white boxes
    This chart focuses our attention on these three important aspects today. Now lets use a faster timeframe and find the exact price levels we need to use today:
    34range chart shows us:
    – No definite dollar correlation, we will look for that later this morning, but nothing at this time
    – We are trading below the major bullish price channel in yellow trend lines 1558.6
    – We see a price wedge and we want to buy the lows and sell the highs of the wedge
    – We see three sideways ranges, and the PHOD/PLOD is above/below us so these ranges become even MORE important.
    – The very wide range from PHOD down to PLOD makes this an inside trading day, but with such wide ranges, its almost like an outside day, but better!
    – “we have some strong price magnets”
    – Major levels above us include 51.4, 58.6, 59.6, 65.2, 67.1, 75.8, 77.4 and we are selling these levels first, and if we see new highs above these levels we then look to buy pullbacks.
    – We don’t buy the highs, we buy pullbacks AFTER new highs.
    – Major levels us support below us include 34.8, 32.1, 22.7, 17.1, 16.2, and we are buying support first, and with new lower lows we then sell retracements.
    – The big money trigger line (BMT) is a very sloppy area when its flat and in the middle of the range
    – We want to avoid trading around the bmt, ideally, we want price to rise up, so I can sell resistance levels and take profit back down at this BMT. Or vice versa.

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