The Fed Rules out QE3, Lowers Growth Estimates, sending US Dollar Higher and Commodities Lower ahead of Jobless Claims
All eyes overnight were on the Fed and the FOMC Meeting that ended on Wednesday with a statement from the Fed.
The main talking points from Ben Bernanke were about the slowing pace of the recovery…
It appears the jobs in the US are not recovering as quickly as they thought…
And he made a very clear point on inflation, telling us it should only be in the short-term…
The jobs situation in the US should improve over the next few months…
And he says they will finish QE2…with no mention of QE3?
Read the whole statement here.
Questions people will be asking…will there be a QE3? Will commodities keep dropping as predicted? Will the unemployment rate eventually drop? Will the jobs report today confirm this? As you can imagine, traders will be exploring all of these options until the next meeting.
Jobless Claims SchoolOfTrade.com |
Initial jobless claims for the June 11 week fell 16,000 to 414,000. The four-week average, though unchanged at 424,750, is more than 15,000 below where it was a month ago. Continuing claims also came down, dropping 21,000 to 3.709 million in data for the June 4 week with the unemployment rate for insured workers unchanged at 2.9 percent.
As a day trader I will be using this information along with the US Dollar Index to make trading decisions. If the news is bearish for the USD I will be looking to buy Gold, Crude Oil, Euro, Russell, and other markets we trade.
New Homes Sales SchoolOfTrade.com |
Looking at the end of the morning we have reason to believe traders will be hitting the exits early ahead of Friday’s GDP reading at 8:30. We hope for a golden lunch, but with news early on Friday it is doubtful. We may see some action from 11:30-12:00 but we will have to wait and see how price action looks at that time.