April 22, 2010

28 Ticks LIVE Today! Market Sentiment Lesson, Re-open 745am EST

Market Gave us clues today…

815am EST:

– Dollar Index Futures have broken to the upside out of its sideways range, but threatening to pullback into the previous trading range below.

o Average true range has been dropping since 6am EST, we are at the lower end of the ATR over the entire week

o Wait for the ATR to increase, this will tell you when there’s more opportunity in OTHER markets.

o Pace of tape indicator shows a VERY slow speed of the market

– Crude Oil Futures are trading at its lows for the week, but sitting in a sideways range from 82.60 to 83.00

o Average true range has been flat, we will wait for some reaction from the market to make a further decision.

o Pace of tape indicator is all RED = Slow price action, so be careful!

830am EST

– Gold Futures are at their lows and double bottoms from multiple days this week

o Be careful around these lows, wait for the market to PROVE to us that it wants to break those lows and STAY THERE.

o Average true range has been increasing for the past 15 minutes, ATR is at its weekly highs

 This is the best environment we’ve seen on Gold all week

– First move of the day @ 905am EST

– Gold Futures, testing the lows, we looked for the reversal

o Breaker short @ the LOD if I have

 Green POT

 BIG SELLERS

 Momentum Pointing Down

o 2-step Reversal Pattern is used if we don’t see the breaker short

 We usually look for the 2-step before the breaker, especially if there’s anything but green POT.

1000am EST

– Russell Futures are trading sideways in the dead center of their weekly trading range

o We call this: Chop Zone

o Be careful, not much support/resistance are affecting price, so it may sit there.

– Gold Futures we have a trend line overhead as resistance, and the same as support

o Lets wait a little longer to see where the price goes next and wait for a better opportunity to trade.

1115am EST:

– Dead-Zone: after the morning news (1030) and before the Euro session ends.

o Look for more volume, more speed, more opportunity at around 1130am EST.

– After 11am, we look for the market to transition into lunch

o What do we look for?

 Slower Speed of the Price Action

• Pace of Tape Indicator = RED and <100

 Sideways Markets

• Average True Range: New lower lows on the ATR

• Flat Trigger Line on different charts

• Double-tops/bottoms on the Fast timeframe

 No BIG MONEY

• Filtered time & sales window

2 trades today, 2 Winners

+28 ticks, $280usd

Only 4 contracts needed to achieve this today!

See you tomorrow @ 745am EST for the live trade room session!

    schooloftrade

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