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159 Ticks Live! Trade Management Strategies
820am EST
– Dollar index futures are trading sideways, after they dropped the past 24 hours
o We notice that we only have 1 double-top, and we have 4 double-bottoms on our slower chart
o Tells me we have very little resistance, and lots of support
o Negative correlation with the dollar and everything else we trade
o Dollar support = resistance on everything else
o Higher % trades today may be the short side
Fast chart confirms sideways market today
Speed of the tape is very slow < 100
Average true range has been dropping, and its at the lowest point of the week.
– Euro Futures are trading slowly above the very important number of 2000
o Fast chart shows price trading at its open, so we aren’t too excited about the current location, we need to wait for the market to start to move.
o Average true range is very low, the lowest all week
– Gold Futures are very concerning this morning
o Very slow speed of the tape < 50 today
o We are trading in the middle on BOTH the slow and fast timeframe charts
We want to avoid trading in the MIDDLE of the chart b/c we call this the ‘zero-line’
930am EST
– Dollar index futures trading through their lows, making new lows and continuing down
o We need the lows to hold if we want to take the DX-Pattern
o If we see those lows broken, we can then look for other markets to be getting more volatile
o The dollar is the perfect hedge against a slow day
If the dollar is moving, everything else moves so we have lots of trades to take
If the dollar isn’t moving, we look for the DX-pattern, which is VERY high %
Make sure you use the correct trade management for the chart you’re trading:
– Scalpers will use the same trade management every single time they execute
o 4/8/Runner
– Day Traders / Position Trader
o Use the market’s support and resistance to plan our trade management
o Most common ways to place your stops and targets:
Swing-High/Low
Trigger Line (thin yellow)
Cheat Sheet (entry/exit rules)
– Breaker
o Be more than 5 ticks away from the big round number (75.00, 1.2000, 56.000)
o Must see a breakout first, above/below the RED LINE
o Swing Low for short trade, swing high for a long trade
o 6-ticks from the swing-high/low to the next level of support/resistance
Uses your trade management as a guide
Scalper = 4/8/Runner
• 6 ticks = 4 + 2 slippage = 6ticks
Day Trader (13-range)
• 8/16
• 10-tick rule (8 +2)
o Steep slope to the trigger line
Avoid trading a breaker pattern when we see a flat trigger line
You don’t need to worry about the slope on a 2-step pattern
• b/c it’s a trend reversal
• use the trigger line as support/resistance for a 2-step
o Momentum must be pointed down for a short, or up for a long
Be careful around overbought, or oversold momentum
o Size of the orders (larger the better)
o Speed of the orders coming into the market
Pace of tape indicator
Faster the better to confirm your entry.
Exit Rules:
– Green or Yellow POT = use my mechanical trade management
o Pink line on Trade Man Chart
– RED Pot I use a discretionary
o Red POT = slow speed
o MACD against my position
Long = macd below the zero line
Short = macd above the zero
o Momentum curls against my trade
5 trades today, 5 Winners
+159ticks, $1,590 usd
Only 4 contracts needed to achieve this today!
See you tomorrow @ 745am EST for the live trade room session!