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10:30 Reversal Pattern; Channels, Wedges and sideways trading ranges
– 10:30 Reversal
o Market opens at 930am, retail trades and locals get into the market (no big money yet)
o Money managers (big money) doesn’t enter the market until they SEE their first opportunity
Youre trading a 30 min chart, which requires at least 2 candles to set up a pattern
2 candles x 30-min = 1 hour
o big money enters the market when THEY want to, around 1030, 1 hour later, 2 candlesticks.
o Focus on the e-mini Russell, S&P, YM, NQ
– What do you do when you have conflicting patterns?
o Channel and Wedge
– Benefits of being a futures traders
o Stocks require a min of $25,000usd
o Stocks will tax your income as a short term capital gains on 100% of the earnings
o Stocks go to ZERO all the time
o Stocks are easily manipulated with lots of times with very low volume
o Forex is the same, no tax advantages, all taxed at 100% at capital gains.
Futures traders have a 60/40 split
• 60% long term
• 40% short term capital gains
o 20% savings
Futures are classified as commodities, not equities.
Series 3, very hard test, similar to series 7 for stocks/options
o You only need $3k-$5k to get started
You don’t need the $25k you need for stocks
– Trade Management:
o Scalper: 2 options
4/8/Runner (6 tick stops
5/10/Runner (6 tick stops)
o Day Trader will use whatever the market gives us, and we will train you on that more details a member.
– Do we add to our positions?
o When we see another good pattern.
– When does crude oil rollover?
– Contract tick values for Dollar
o Check the blog
– Inside vs. outside days
o Inside day = market is trading inside the range from yesterday
Always considered to be a higher risk environment
o Outside day = market has traded and stayed above the highs or the lows of the previous day’s trading range.
– What are your timeframes, and how do they equate to time charts?
o I don’t use many time charts for my trading, but they can be similar to…
o 4-range = 89t, 1min, 2min
o 8-range = 144t, 2min, 3min
o 13-range = 144t, 3-5min
o 21-range = 233t, 5-10min
o 34-range = 328t, 13min+
– Will jobless claims affect crude oil?
o Most likely will: if jobless claims rise…economy is weaker…weaker dollar…strong crude oil.
o Best advice is to ignore the fundamentals and watch the technical set-ups.
Instead of worrying about the effects on crude, watch your charts, and look for the patterns instead.