May 2, 2012
- in Uncategorized by schooloftrade
Market Personality is Different for Every Futures Market
Crude Oil:
–
Fade-the-breakouts
Fade-the-breakouts
–
Look
for Fake-out breakout
Look
for Fake-out breakout
–
Sell
at the highs and buy at the lows
Sell
at the highs and buy at the lows
–
Sell
when price makes a new higher-highs
Sell
when price makes a new higher-highs
–
Buy
when price makes a new lower-lows
Buy
when price makes a new lower-lows
–
FEAR
and PERCEPTION of Supply
& Demand
FEAR
and PERCEPTION of Supply
& Demand
E-Mini-Russell:
–
Notorious
for Low Volume moves
Notorious
for Low Volume moves
–
Ignores
the usual support and resistance levels
Ignores
the usual support and resistance levels
–
Professionals
always have a hard time with this market due to this low volume
Professionals
always have a hard time with this market due to this low volume
–
Trades
tend to run from highs to lows
Trades
tend to run from highs to lows
–
Sell
the highs and take profit at the lows of the range
Sell
the highs and take profit at the lows of the range
–
Let
the trade Run type of market
Let
the trade Run type of market
Gold futures:
–
Early-morning
market
Early-morning
market
o
3am
EST – 1pm EST
3am
EST – 1pm EST
–
Highly
emotional (fear and greed)
Highly
emotional (fear and greed)
–
3
different types of market personality
3
different types of market personality
o
Very
quiet and slow, moves sideways
Very
quiet and slow, moves sideways
o
Very
volatile and fast, moves violently
Very
volatile and fast, moves violently
§ Spread is very wide
§ Spread = difference between the bid
and ask
and ask
o
Consistent; moves like it should, not too fast, not too
slow
Consistent; moves like it should, not too fast, not too
slow
–
Follows
the dollar index negative correlation
Follows
the dollar index negative correlation
–
Range-bound,
not as bad Crude Oil but still we sell the highs and buy the lows.
Range-bound,
not as bad Crude Oil but still we sell the highs and buy the lows.
–
Our
job on gold futures is to look for clues for today’s market personality
Our
job on gold futures is to look for clues for today’s market personality
Euro:
–
High
volume, low range
High
volume, low range
o
Similar
to the E-Mini S&P, 30-yr bonds, FESX
Similar
to the E-Mini S&P, 30-yr bonds, FESX
–
Trending,
but high volume, so it takes more of a push to move the price
Trending,
but high volume, so it takes more of a push to move the price
–
When
the euro DOES start moving, go with the move because it often continues
When
the euro DOES start moving, go with the move because it often continues
–
Currency
= tied to the dollar index correlation (strong)
Currency
= tied to the dollar index correlation (strong)
o
When
the dollar index is moving, so is the euro
When
the dollar index is moving, so is the euro